The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 50.2%
Draw 27.5%
Hartlepool United 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
30.1%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
29.7%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Colchester United - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Colchester has the most likely position - 14 (5.36%), has project points - 64, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (31.03%), has project points - 40, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality8, small importance29, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Colchester won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
Watch
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