Match Info

Date: 8 February 2020, Saturday


	Colchester United		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.4
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.13	3.19	3.26
	2.26	3.3	3.39
	2.2	3.2	3.4
	2.28	3.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.3)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	3.36 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
42.8%

Draw
29.1%

Plymouth Argyle
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

19.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colchester United - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
01.02.20	Cambridge United - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
28.01.20	Colchester United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
25.01.20	Exeter City - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
21.01.20	Colchester United - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Colchester United - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTW
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Two
01.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Newport County	1:0 ✺
28.01.20	Plymouth Argyle - Crawley Town	2:2 ✺
25.01.20	Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle	1:2 ✺
18.01.20	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	3:1 ✺
11.01.20	Carlisle United - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.08.19	Plymouth Argyle - Colchester United	1:0
22.04.17	Colchester United - Plymouth Argyle	0:0
29.10.16	Plymouth Argyle - Colchester United	2:1

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