Match Info

Date: 10 November 2020, Tuesday


	Plymouth Argyle		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.84	3.65	3.5
	1.65	3.95	4
	1.72	4.18	3.85
	1.85	3.7	3.7
	1.77	3.88	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)	3.82 ↑ (3.59)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
51.9%

Draw
23.8%

Newport County
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

18.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Argyle - Newport County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Plymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plymouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English League One
03.11.20	Plymouth Argyle - Swindon Town	4:2 ✺
27.10.20	Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWTL
- Newport County
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Leyton Orient - Newport County	1:2 ✺
English League Two
03.11.20	Carlisle United - Newport County	3:2 ✺
31.10.20	Newport County - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
27.10.20	Newport County - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Bradford City - Newport County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Newport County	1:0
17.08.19	Newport County - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
English EFL Trophy
13.11.18	Newport County - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
English League Two
17.04.17	Plymouth Argyle - Newport County	6:1
English FA Cup
21.12.16	Newport County - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ET
03.12.16	Plymouth Argyle - Newport County	0:0
English League Two
22.10.16	Newport County - Plymouth Argyle	1:3

Upcoming Matches