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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 35.5%
Draw 27.7%
Port Vale 36.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.3%
27.4%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
26.3%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2%)
Colchester United - Port Vale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Postponed due to international match.
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 23rd in the Relegation - National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Colchester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Port Vale has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Faal M.
(Inactive).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Colchester has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colchester against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
21
Colchester
12
2
6
4
11:16
-5
12
23
Port Vale
11
3
3
5
6:12
-6
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Port Vale: 4.89% Colchester: 1.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.28%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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