Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe) (Colchester)


	Colchester United		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.20	2.60
	2.68	3.47	2.51
	2.61	3.3	2.56	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.45
	2.61	3.38	2.46
	2.50	3.30	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.62)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
35.5%

Draw
27.7%

Port Vale
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

26.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2%)

Colchester United - Port Vale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Postponed due to international match.

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 23rd in the Relegation - National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Colchester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Port Vale has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Colchester: Bishop T. (Inactive) Leake J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Faal M. (Inactive).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Colchester has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Colchester against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Port Vale: 3.7% Colchester: 3.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Colchester United - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.28%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
26.09.26	Shrewsbury Town - Colchester United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Peterborough United - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Swindon Town - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTTL
- Port Vale
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Chesterfield - Port Vale	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Walsall - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Port Vale - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Salford City - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Swindon Town - Port Vale	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.03.25	Colchester United - Port Vale	2:1
01.10.24	Port Vale - Colchester United	1:1
05.03.22	Colchester United - Port Vale	1:0
23.10.21	Port Vale - Colchester United	3:0
20.03.21	Colchester United - Port Vale	0:1
12.12.20	Port Vale - Colchester United	1:1
15.02.20	Port Vale - Colchester United	3:0

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