Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	ESPN 2
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1611
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Deportivo Riestra		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	5	Watch
	1.88	2.92	4.7	Watch
	1.94	2.95	4.99
	2.02	2.91	4.64	Watch
	1.91	2.88	4.6	Watch
	2	3.08	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.2)	2.96 ↑ (2.81)	4.8 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
48.5%

Draw
31.9%

Palestino
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

33.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

31.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Riestra's performance.

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palestino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Deportivo Riestra - Palestino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Deportivo Riestra will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 19. Randazzo J. (C) 13. Gallo R. 40. Obredor G. 16. Watson N. 14. Monje P. 27. Goitia J. 7. Alonso A. 31. Smarra M.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Fernandez J. 27. Munder C. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 18. Gallegos S. 11. Benitez J. 19. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
6. Barbieri M. 10. Diaz A. 29. Dramisino A. 34. Duarte L. 32. Flores G. 9. Herrera J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 11. Nsumoh J. 22. Paz C. 23. Ramirez M. 28. Sayavedra R. 35. Stringa A.	14. Abrigo J. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 12. Canto R. (G) 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 9. Fernandez R. 23. Leon J. 8. Meza N. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D.
Coaches
Benitez G.	Munoz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smarra M. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
46', Obredor G. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
56', Benitez J. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
56', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
77', Gallo R. ↓, Stringa A. ↑,
77', Da Silva N. 🟨,
83', Munder C. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
83', Da Silva N. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
85', Carrasco B. 🟨,
88', Mino F. ↓, Paz C. ↑,
90+2', Watson N. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,

Preview

Deportivo Riestra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Palestino is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Riestra is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
02.04.26	Universidad Católica - Palestino	6:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Palestino - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
26.03.26	Deportes Limache - Palestino	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Palestino - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

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