Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Argentina	21:30	Fox Sports, Telefe
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	21:30	Paramount+
Bulgaria	03:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Chile	21:30	Chilevision, ESPN Premium
Colombia	19:30	ESPN
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	02:30	Sport 1+
Greece	03:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 3
Mexico	18:30	ESPN 2
Montenegro	02:30	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	02:30	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN 2
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	01:30	Sporty TV
North Macedonia	02:30	Arena Premium 1
Poland	02:30	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV1
Russia	03:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	02:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	02:30	Arena Sport 1
Spain	02:30	beIN Sports
Switzerland	02:30	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	03:30	S Sport, S Sport+
United Kingdom	01:30	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Venezuela	20:30	Inter
International	00:30	Disney+, Fanatiz, Pluto TV


	Colo-Colo		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3	2.35
	3.25	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.44	3	2.45
	3.31	3.01	2.41	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.19	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	3.06 ↑ (3.04)	2.36 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
29%

Draw
30.9%

River Plate Montevideo
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

31.1%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Colo-Colo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Colo Colo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cortes B. (G) 22. Isla M. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 8. Pavez E. 23. Vidal A. 5. Gil L. 7. Carlos Palacios 9. Correa J. 32. Cepeda L.	1. Armani F. (C) 16. Bustos F. 6. Pezzella G. 17. Diaz P. 24. Acuna M. 5. Kranevitter M. 31. Simon S. 19. Echeverri C. 26. Fernandez N. 8. Meza M. 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
15. Amor E. 11. Bolados M. 19. Castellani G. 30. De Paul F. (G) 33. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 16. Opazo Lara O. 29. Paiva G. 28. Soto L. 14. Zavala C.	7. Bareiro A. 20. Casco M. 11. Colidio F. 13. Diaz E. 4. Fonseca N. . Gattoni F. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 30. Mastantuono F. 36. Solari P. 23. Villagra R.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Saldivia A. 🟨,
38', Armani F. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Pezzella G. ⚽, Acuna M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Saldivia A. ↓, Amor E. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Carlos Palacios ⚽, Vidal A. (A),
63', Echeverri C. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
63', Meza M. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
69', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
70', Gil L. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
73', Miguel Borja 🟨,
74', Kranevitter M. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
76', Cortes B. 🟨,
78', Correa J. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
78', Vidal A. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
86', Isla M. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
89', Falcon M. 🟨,
89', Diaz P. 🟨,
90', Falcon M. 🟨,
90', Diaz P. 🟨,
90+2', Simon S. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
90+7', Castellani G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Colo-Colo have a series of guest games.

River Plate will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Cup
07.09.24	Deportes Magallanes - Colo-Colo	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.09.24	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
29.08.24	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.09.24	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.08.24	River Plate Montevideo - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.08.24	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.11.23	Colo-Colo - River Plate Montevideo	2:2
09.11.22	Colo-Colo - River Plate Montevideo	3:4
Copa Libertadores
19.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - Colo-Colo	4:0
27.04.22	Colo-Colo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2

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