Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 3

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Comercial SP		União São João

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.90	3.00
	2.32	2.88	3	Watch
	2.37	2.77	3.05
	2.32	2.92	3.19
	2.2	2.75	3.15
	2.46	2.89	3.15	Watch
	2.34	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.28)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)	3.06 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
38.7%

Draw
31.7%

União São João
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Comercial SP - União São João Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Comercial SP - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

União São João - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
25.07.26	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.04.26	Comercial SP - Tanabi	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Jabaquara - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Comercial SP - Inter de Bebedouro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.8 WWWLW
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Copa Paulista
25.07.26	EC Noroeste - União São João	2:2 ✺
22.07.26	União São João - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.03.26	União São João - EC São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Paulista - União São João	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	União São João - Francana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.25	União São João - Comercial SP	1:0
12.07.25	Comercial SP - União São João	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Comercial SP - União São João	1:3

Comercial SP - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide