Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo)

Referee: Lopez P. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App, Nativa
Usa	Fanatiz


	Comerciantes Unidos		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.32	3	3.2	Watch
	2.33	2.98	3.25
	2.3	3.09	3.29	Watch
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.31	3	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.13)	3.04 ↓ (3.22)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
40.9%

Draw
30.5%

Deportivo Garcilaso
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 11. Herrera J. 18. Rodriguez A. 4. Arias A. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M. (C)	1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 13. Benincasa H. 14. Torrejon C. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 24. Olivares C. 30. Da Silva B. 8. Gonzalez A. 7. Sinisterra J.
Substitutes
10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 19. Lino D. 20. Parodi J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 29. Saavedra C. 14. Salinas T. 3. Vasquez C.	11. Arancibia F. 27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 35. Mendoza J. 16. Nunez O. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Morales D.	Dominguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Canales E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Cossio A. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez A. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
70', Rodriguez A. ↓, Carpio Ferro M. P. ↑,
73', Da Silva B. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
77', Benincasa H. 🟨,
81', Herrera J. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
90', Sinisterra J. ↓, Nunez O. ↑,
90+1', Alcedo F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
90+6', Nunez O. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent performances by Comerciantes Unidos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Comerciantes Unidos could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Moreno X. (Injury) Nunez O. (Muscle Injury) Salazar A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
17.05.26	ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWW
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
17.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
27.07.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0
16.02.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1
25.08.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1
28.03.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2

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