Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
World	Fanatiz


	Comerciantes Unidos		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.68	3.1	2.68	Watch
	2.79	2.91	2.88
	2.8	2.76	2.89	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.78	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.65	2.98	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.39)	2.98 ↓ (3.16)	2.74 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
34.8%

Draw
31.2%

Universidad César Vallejo
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Campos D. (G) 26. Toledo J. 31. Caballero E. 22. Almiron M. 13. Caro D. 73. Dioses D. 6. Paico K. 14. Palacio D. 11. Gonzales S. 23. Magallanes P. 9. Sen M.	21. Carvallo J. (G) 32. Madrid J. 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 61. Bolivar J. 4. Amasifuen N. 8. Ysique F. 10. Velez J. (C) 33. Benitez E. 13. Barreto G. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
19. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 27. Barrios K. 28. Garcia L. (G) 3. Guadalupe Q. 80. Medina F. 20. Parodi J. 18. Pinto O. 40. Regalado I. 33. Villanueva C.	88. Ballon J. 7. Barreto O. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 15. Grandez G. 20. Noronha O. 6. Perea G. 38. Perez D. 18. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Silvestri C.	Hernandez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+6', 1 - 0, Sen M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bolivar J. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
46', Barreto G. ↓, Ballon J. ↑,
47', Caballero E. 🟨,
61', Benitez E. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
62', Ballon J. 🟨,
72', Madrid J. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
73', Gonzales S. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
74', Palacio D. 🟨,
80', Paico K. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Mena Y. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
87', Palacio D. ↓, Regalado I. ↑,
87', Magallanes P. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Regalado I. ⚽,
90+5', Ysique F. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

César Vallejo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Comerciantes Unidos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
14.09.24	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	FBC Melgar - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Sport Huancayo - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
15.08.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWTT
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
13.09.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
19.08.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Boys	2:2 ✺
11.08.24	Cusco - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
14.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1
13.05.16	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad César Vallejo	3:1
06.02.16	Universidad César Vallejo - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1

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