Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Troyes

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.65
	2.5	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.51	3.32	3
	2.38	3.3	2.7
	2.49	3.44	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	2.75 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
37.7%

Draw
28.3%

Troyes
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Concarneau - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 33. Faussurier J. 4. Janez G. (C) 12. Celestine J. 2. Georgen A. 20. Mouazan B. 6. Phliponeau A. 17. Etuin M. 7. Matondo I. 11. Urie A. 22. Rodrigues C.	38. Alemdar D. (G) 8. Boura I. 22. Zoukrou B. 5. Tahrat M. 12. Conte A. 42. Kante A. 19. Bruus A. 28. Diop M. 24. Chavalerin X. (C) 11. Said R. 14. Elisor S.
Substitutes
15. Bares G. 24. Gboho A. 18. Merdji Y. 9. Ndombasi N. 28. Paro I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 23. Sans R.	30. Boucher Z. (G) 17. de Preville N. 27. Dong K. 36. Kohon R. 10. M'Changama Y. 37. N'jo E. 23. Olaitan J.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Guion D.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 14).

Concarneau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Troyes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Caen - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Concarneau - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Guingamp - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
05.12.23	Concarneau - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Rodez - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Troyes - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Troyes - Angers	1:4 ✺
05.12.23	Troyes - Amiens	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Bordeaux - Troyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.10.23	Troyes - Concarneau	0:0
Coupe De France
20.01.16	Concarneau - Troyes	1:3

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