Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.37
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.16	3.35	2.5
	3.16	3.11	2.5
	2.88	3.4	2.3
	2.89	3.44	2.41	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.14)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	2.4 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
32%

Draw
28.5%

Rodez
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Concarneau - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 2. Georgen A. 4. Janez G. (C) 12. Celestine J. 17. Etuin M. 21. Chadli N. 6. Phliponeau A. 15. Bares G. 26. Sinquin T. 14. Ba P. I. 22. Rodrigues C.	40. Jaouen E. (G) 4. Mambo Muzalijoma S. 15. Raux Yao S. 14. Danger B. (C) 24. Haag G. 6. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 7. Younoussa W. 10. Taibi W. 28. Abdallah A. 12. Corredor K. 22. Arconte T.
Substitutes
33. Faussurier J. 20. Mouazan B. 9. Ndombasi N. 28. Paro I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 11. Urie A. 3. Wahib A.	5. Boma K. 30. Crombez E. (G) 17. Hountondji A. 3. Lipinski R. 8. Rajot L. 11. Sylla D. 26. Verdier Y.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Raux Yao S. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Younoussa W. ⚽, Abdallah A. (A),
67', Rodrigues C. ↓, Ndombasi N. ↑,
67', Bares G. ↓, Mouazan B. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Corredor K. ⚽, Younoussa W. (A),
70', Arconte T. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
73', Chadli N. 🟨,
74', Etuin M. ↓, Wahib A. ↑,
74', Georgen A. ↓, Faussurier J. ↑,
77', Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. ↓, Sylla D. ↑,
77', Younoussa W. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
83', Chadli N. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
90+1', Abdallah A. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
90+1', Taibi W. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Sinquin T. ⚽, Faussurier J. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Concarneau is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rodez is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Bastia - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Concarneau - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Concarneau - Amiens	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Concarneau - Angers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Rodez - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Rodez - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Caen - Rodez	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rodez - Quevilly	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Troyes - Rodez	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Rodez - Concarneau	2:0
French Ligue 3
29.03.19	Rodez - Concarneau	2:1
02.11.18	Concarneau - Rodez	1:1
23.02.18	Concarneau - Rodez	2:1
15.09.17	Rodez - Concarneau	0:0

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