Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Confiança		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	2.88	2.98
	2.46	2.86	2.94
	2.72	3.01	2.71
	2.3	2.75	2.9
	2.45	3.03	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)	2.91 ↑ (2.87)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
37.3%

Draw
31.4%

Santa Cruz Recife
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 7. Danielzinho 8. Gabriel Zeca 11. Iago Silva 4. Icaro (C) 9. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 3. Lucas Cunha 10. PK 13. Renilson 2. Weriton	25. Gabriel Souza (G) 3. Eurico 14. Israel 5. Pedro Favela 22. Regis 19. Renato 17. Ronald 23. Tiago Marques 8. Wagner Balotelli 4. William Alves (C) 31. Ze Mario
Substitutes
21. Andrey Quintino 14. Eduardo Moura 17. Fabricio 18. Guilherme Nunes 5. Lorran 16. Marcelo Nunes 22. Mateus Ludke 20. Matheus Juliao 12. Matheus Silva (G) 15. Paulo Henrique 99. Sassa 19. Wendel	6. Alex Ruan 27. Edson Miranda 7. Fabinho 30. Jefferson Bahia 29. Marcos Andre 20. Patrick Allan 9. Quirino 16. Rodrigues 26. Silva 1. Thiago Coelho (G) 2. Thiago Ennes 18. Vitinho
Coaches
Cacapa C.	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
23', Gabriel Zeca 🟨,
45+4', Ze Mario 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Regis ↓, Thiago Ennes ↑,
46', Renato ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
46', Israel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
63', Joao Pedro ↓, Lorran ↑,
63', Gabriel Zeca ↓, Fabricio ↑,
69', Iago Silva ↓, Andrey Quintino ↑,
70', Tiago Marques ↓, Quirino ↑,
77', Wagner Balotelli ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
83', Danielzinho ↓, Mateus Ludke ↑,
89', Marcos Andre 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 1.

Confiança has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Confiança won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Confiança - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Confiança - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.07.20	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 penalties
Brazilian Serie C
11.08.19	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
09.06.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Confiança	3:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Confiança	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
28.07.18	Santa Cruz Recife - Confiança	4:0
28.05.18	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.18	Santa Cruz Recife - Confiança	4:1

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