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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 49.6%
Draw 26.1%
Kawasaki Frontale 24.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.2%
25.9%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
25.6%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
27.3%
0%
Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 46.4% โ 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 15. Omori R. 17. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 16. Sato K. 8. Ko T. 27. Tokiwa K. 28. Nozawa L. 39. Nakagawa T. 23. Sato R.
1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 5. Sasaki A. 28. Maruyama Y. (C) 13. Miura S. 17. Ito T. 19. Kawahara S. 8. Tachibanada K. 24. Miyagi T. 38. Kanda S. 9. Erison
Substitutes
22. Endo K. 18. Hashimoto K. 10. Higashi K. 9. Marcelo Ryan 3. Morishige M. 55. Otani D. C. 44. Suzuki K. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 71. Yamada F.
21. Hayasaka Y. (G) 32. Hayashi S. 23. Marcinho 2. Matsunagane Y. 34. Osa R. 91. Romanic L. 22. Uremovic F. 14. Wakizaka Y. 6. Yamamoto Y.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Hasebe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Sato K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ito T. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
46', Miyagi T. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Nozawa L. ⚽, Nakagawa T. (A),
57', Kanda S. ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
66', Erison 🟨,
68', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
68', Tokiwa K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
69', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
79', Tachibanada K. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
83', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
87', Erison ↓, Osa R. ↑,
88', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
90+1', Muroya S. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
Tokyo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tokyo is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Nagakura M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Scholz A.
(Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Konno K.
(Calf Injury)
Ozeki Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Taniguchi H.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Tokiwa K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Uremovic F.
(Injury)
Yamaichi S.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:28. (average 0.8:3.1).
Brazil
China
Japan
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Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 
Muroya S. (C) 
Erison 
Romanic L. 
Uremovic F. 
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