Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 5
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	18:45	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 2
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 4
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports, Fox Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 3
Romania	19:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	00:45	beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Copenhagen		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.57
	5.25	3.8	1.55
	5.5	4	1.6	Watch
	5.71	4.1	1.59
	5.57	3.86	1.63	Watch
	5.6	4.38	1.59
	5.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.45)	4.01 ↑ (3.94)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
17%

Draw
23.6%

Chelsea
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

24.6%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	7.9%	82.5%

Copenhagen - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (51 of 58 users predict this - 87.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.55% – 96.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Diks K. 5. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatzidiakos P. 24. Meling B. 22. Gocholeishvili G. 36. Clem W. 17. Froholdt V. 30. Achouri E. 7. Claesson V. (C) 19. Chiakha A.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Badiashile B. 24. James R. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 20. Palmer C. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 32. George T. 76. Mheuka S.
Substitutes
33. Falk R. 4. Garananga M. 13. Huescas R. 15. Lopez M. 8. Mattsson M. 48. Nemeth H. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 1. Trott N. (G)	34. Acheampong J. 39. Amougou M. 47. Bergstrom L. (G) 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 8. Fernandez E. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 7. Neto P. 18. Nkunku C. 19. Sancho J.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Gusto M. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Badiashile B. ↓, Colwill L. ↑,
46', Mheuka S. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
46', Caicedo M. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, James R. ⚽, Cucurella M. (A),
65', Claesson V. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
65', Achouri E. ↓, Robert ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Fernandez E. ⚽, George T. (A),
70', Meling B. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
70', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Huescas R. ↑,
72', Palmer C. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
76', Diks K. 🟨,
79', Diks K. ↓, Garananga M. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Gabriel Pereira ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
87', James R. 🟨,
87', Chiakha A. 🟨,
90', Lopez M. 🟨,
90+1', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Copenhagen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chelsea is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Copenhagen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Boilesen N. (Knee Injury) Cornelius A. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery)

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Thigh Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Madueke N. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Copenhagen: Larsson J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Chalobah T. (Back Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
02.03.25	Aalborg BK - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.02.25	Heidenheim - Copenhagen	1:3 ET ✺
Danish Superliga
17.02.25	Randers FC - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.02.25	Copenhagen - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
25.02.25	Chelsea - Southampton	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
03.02.25	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches