Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24


	Chelsea		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.6	4.45	5.15
	1.59	4.55	5.41
	1.61	4.59	5.17	Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.8
	1.64	4.53	5.39	Watch
	1.58	4.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	4.41 ↓ (4.74)	5.18 ↓ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
59.8%

Draw
21.7%

West Ham United
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.3%	14.5%	3.2%

Chelsea - West Ham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Chelsea (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - West Ham (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Chelsea (1.99) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - West Ham (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 31 - 79.5%). West Ham (votes: 6 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 5. Badiashile B. 21. Hato J. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 11. Gittens J. 10. Palmer C. 49. Garnacho A. 9. Delap L.	23. Areola A. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 15. Mavropanos K. 25. Todibo J. 12. Diouf M. 28. Soucek T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Bowen J. (C) 19. Pablo 7. Summerville C. 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 3. Cucurella M. 29. Fofana W. 38. Guiu M. 24. James R. 20. Joao Pedro 7. Neto P. 28. Sharman-Lowe T. (G)	1. Hermansen M. (G) 55. Kante M. 3. Kilman M. 27. Magassa S. 32. Potts F. 30. Scarles O. 17. Traore A. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Bowen J. ⚽, Wan-Bissaka A. (A),
26', Gittens J. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
36', 0 - 2, Summerville C. ⚽, Wan-Bissaka A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Hato J. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
46', Garnacho A. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
46', Badiashile B. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fofana W. (A),
67', Pablo ↓, Kilman M. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Cucurella M. ⚽,
76', Castellanos T. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
81', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
81', Bowen J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
81', Diouf M. ↓, Scarles O. ↑,
85', Caicedo M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Fernandez E. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
90+3', Fernandez E. 🟨,
90+7', Joao Pedro 🟨,
90+7', Traore A. 🟨,
90+11', Todibo J. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4.

Chelsea is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

West Ham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelsea is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T. (Muscle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in West Ham: Fabianski L. (Back Injury)

We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 5.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Napoli - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Chelsea - Paphos	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Chelsea - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- West Ham United
English Premier League
24.01.26	West Ham United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5
03.02.25	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1
21.09.24	West Ham United - Chelsea	0:3
05.05.24	Chelsea - West Ham United	5:0
20.08.23	West Ham United - Chelsea	3:1
11.02.23	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:1
03.09.22	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1

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