Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Copenhagen		Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5
	1.38	4.6	6.75
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.4	4.93	7.52
	1.38	4.97	7.11	Watch
	1.3	4.8	8
	1.43	4.94	7.5
	1.38	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	4.84 ↑ (3.65)	7.55 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
68.1%

Draw
19.4%

Hearts
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	2%	3.9%

Copenhagen - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (48 of 51 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.66% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 15. Lopez M. 6. Hatzidiakos P. 5. Gabriel Pereira 2. Diks K. 36. Clem W. 27. Delaney T. 19. Chiakha A. 7. Claesson V. (C) 16. Robert 10. Elyounoussi M.	1. Gordon C. (G) 5. Oyegoke D. 2. Kent F. 15. Rowles K. 29. Penrice J. 77. Vargas K. 14. Devlin C. 18. Boateng M. 17. Forrest A. 9. Shankland L. (C) 16. Spittal B.
Substitutes
14. Cornelius A. 17. Froholdt V. 4. Garananga M. 22. Gocholeishvili G. 38. Hojer O. 13. Huescas R. 11. Larsson J. 12. Lerager L. 8. Mattsson M. 24. Meling B. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 21. Sander T. (G)	27. Boyce L. 28. Clark Z. (G) 20. Dhanda Y. 35. Forrester A. 7. Grant J. 10. McKay B. 11. Oda Y. 80. Salazar A. 36. Sandilands C. 25. Tait M. 21. Wilson J.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Critchley N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kent F. ↓, Forrester A. ↑,
38', Boateng M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Chiakha A. ⚽,
51', Forrester A. 🟨,
73', Vargas K. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
73', Forrest A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Diks K. (Pen),
81', Clem W. ↓, Lerager L. ↑,
81', Robert ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
82', Devlin C. 🟨,
87', Claesson V. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
87', Chiakha A. ↓, Cornelius A. ↑,
90+5', Lopez M. ↓, Meling B. ↑,

Preview

Copenhagen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hearts is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Copenhagen is certain favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Falk R. (Knee Injury) Gocholeishvili G. (Injury)

There will not play in Hearts: Kingsley S. (Muscle Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Muscle Injury) Taylor Dosman G. G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Injury) Boilesen N. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Copenhagen to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Landspokal Cup
07.12.24	Kolding IF - Copenhagen	1:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
02.12.24	Copenhagen - Nordsjælland	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Dinamo Minsk - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
24.11.24	Copenhagen - Lyngby BK	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWT
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
07.12.24	Hearts - Dundee	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Hearts - Aberdeen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Cercle Brugge - Hearts	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
23.11.24	Hearts - Celtic	1:4 ✺
10.11.24	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

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