Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	CMore Live, TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Copenhagen		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5
	1.65	3.9	5
	1.67	3.8	5
	1.66	4.04	5.5
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.61	3.98	5.4
	1.7	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	5.1 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
57.2%

Draw
24.3%

Raków Częstochowa
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.8%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	1.5%	16.4%

Copenhagen - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (55 of 67 users predict this - 82.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.91% – 91.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 19. Jelert E. 3. Vavro D. 2. Diks K. 24. Meling B. 7. Claesson V. (C) 33. Falk R. 12. Lerager L. 9. Goncalves D. 25. Larsson J. 10. Elyounoussi M.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 15. Kovacevic A. 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. 66. Papanikolaou G. 5. Berggren G. 22. Sorescu D. 30. Kochergin V. 99. Piasecki F. 77. Cebula M.
Substitutes
30. Achouri E. 22. Ankersen P. 40. Bardghji R. 36. Clem W. 14. Cornelius A. 41. Dithmer A. (G) 39. Hojlund O. 27. Lund V. 18. Oskarsson O. 21. Sander T. (G) 6. Sorensen C.	93. Kittel S. 8. Lederman B. 27. Nowak B. 14. Plavsic S. 25. Racovitan B. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G) 11. Yeboah J. 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Szwarga D.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Copenhagen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Raków is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Copenhagen is a favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Injury) Amoo A. (Knee Injury) Babacar K. (Injury) Khocholava D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Raków: Gryszkiewicz A. (Knee Injury) Lopez I. (Knee Injury) Pestka K. (Injury) Svarnas S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Raków: Silva J. C. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Copenhagen to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Copenhagen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
26.08.23	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
18.08.23	Hvidovre - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Sparta Prague - Copenhagen	3:4 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
11.08.23	Copenhagen - OB Odense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW
- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Aris - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Copenhagen	0:1

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