Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Coquimbo Unido		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.2	Watch
	2	3.1	3.65	Watch
	1.99	3.15	3.7
	2.04	3.39	3.83
	2.05	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.34)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.8 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
46.1%

Draw
29.3%

Estudiantes de Mérida
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

20.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coquimbo Unido's performance.

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Mérida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coquimbo Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Coquimbo Unido - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Coquimbo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estudiantes de Mérida is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coquimbo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Coquimbo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
21.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
14.10.20	Cobresal - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
09.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	2:2 ✺
02.10.20	OHiggins - Coquimbo Unido	1:4 ✺
25.09.20	Coquimbo Unido - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWTWW
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.10.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Racing - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.10.20	Trujillanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
14.10.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL

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