Match Info

Date: 8 October 2021, Friday


	Coquimbo Unido		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	1.79	3.1	3.95
	1.82	3.25	3.95
	1.88	3.38	4.18
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.87	3.22	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	4.01 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
48.8%

Draw
28.5%

Santiago Morning
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

19.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coquimbo Unido that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santiago Morning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coquimbo Unido - Santiago Morning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Coquimbo have a series of guest games.

In this match Coquimbo is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Coquimbo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Coquimbo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.21	Deportes Copiapó - Coquimbo Unido	2:1 ✺
28.09.21	San Marcos de Arica - Coquimbo Unido	0:0 ✺
23.09.21	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
16.09.21	Universidad de Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Deportes Magallanes - Coquimbo Unido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWT
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.21	Santiago Morning - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
22.09.21	Santiago Morning - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
16.09.21	San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning	4:0 ✺
08.09.21	Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.06.21	Santiago Morning - Coquimbo Unido	3:0
14.10.18	Coquimbo Unido - Santiago Morning	0:0
20.05.18	Santiago Morning - Coquimbo Unido	2:1
04.11.17	Coquimbo Unido - Santiago Morning	4:0
25.03.17	Santiago Morning - Coquimbo Unido	2:1
05.11.16	Coquimbo Unido - Santiago Morning	1:1
30.01.16	Coquimbo Unido - Santiago Morning	3:1

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