The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 50.5%
Draw 26.6%
Santiago Morning 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
27.2%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
26.3%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Santiago Morning will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Marcos de Arica (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Temperini N. (G) 3. Muller I. 5. Rivera J. 6. Ledesma F. (C) 15. Cubillos G. 4. Caceres C. 10. Velazco F. 26. Rencoret C. 35. Plaza D. 20. Abalos A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
12. Canete L. (C) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 23. Delgado M. 16. Ceron D. 4. Iturra M. 20. Ormeno E. 25. Estay D. 28. Alvarez D. 15. Cortes F. 17. Castro P. 22. Arias D.
Substitutes
21. Camarda M. 36. Campos R. 19. Contreras A. 40. Fernandez R. 32. Gauna N. A. 24. Pereira D. 22. Tapia B. (G)
1. Arana A. (G) 6. Asprea T. 10. Campillay K. 32. Carreno E. 11. Escobar G. 5. Gatica M. 8. Salazar S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Ledesma F. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
22', Plaza D. 🟨,
38', Ormeno E. 🟨,
41', Muller I. 🟨,
45+5', Delgado M. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Ledesma F. 🟨,
54', Plaza D. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
61', Estay D. ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
61', Ormeno E. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
61', Abalos A. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
67', Iturra M. 🟨,
69', Iturra M. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
69', Alvarez D. ↓, Gatica M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
77', Caceres C. 🟨,
88', Contreras A. 🟨,
90', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
San Marcos de Arica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Watch
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Temperini N. (G) 
Muller I. 
Camarda M. 
Arana A. (G) 
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