The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 65.2%
Draw 21.4%
Chapecoense 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
20.2%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
19.4%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Corinthians - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 45% โ 100%.
51. Kaue (G) 2. Matheuzinho 4. Joao Pedro 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 19. Carrillo A. 29. Allan 37. Kaio Cesar 8. Garro R. (C) 7. Breno Bidon 10. Depay M.
98. Anderson (G) 5. Heitor 21. Kauan 3. Eduardo Doma (C) 12. Fernando 27. Camilo Reijers 7. Marcinho 10. Giovanni Augusto 88. Yago Felipe 31. Mauricio Garcez 9. Tulio
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 26. Angileri F. 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 56. Gui Negao 46. Hugo 77. Lingard J. 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.
11. Bolasie Y. 77. Borrero D. 16. Bruno Matias 80. Carvalho M. 19. David Antunes 26. Everton 6. Mancha 30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 15. Rafael Thyere 29. Rossi F. 70. Rubens Ricoldi
Coaches
Diniz F.
Rafael Lacerda
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
2', 1 - 0, Matheus Bidu ⚽, Gustavo Henrique (A),
40', 1 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Heitor (A),
45+4', Tulio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
61', Tulio ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
61', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
66', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
66', Allan ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
73', Kauan 🟨,
74', Heitor ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
74', Yago Felipe ↓, Everton ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Marcinho ⚽, Bolasie Y. (A),
82', Marcinho ↓, David Antunes ↑,
84', Garro R. ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
84', Carrillo A. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
90', Kaio Cesar ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Corinthians is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Muscle Injury)
Andre Ramalho
(Inactive)
Gabriel Paulista
(Yellow Cards)
Hugo Souza
(Yellow Cards)
Kayke
(Knee Injury)
Labyad Z.
(Knee Injury)
Raniele
(Yellow Cards)
Raniele
(Red Card)
Vitinho
(Knee Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Chapecoense: Bolasie Y.
(Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Paulo
(Health problems)
Max Alves
(Injury)
Rafael Carvalheira
(Knee Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Tubarao
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1.1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1:0.3).