Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	beIN Sports, LaLiga+
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Corinthians		Racing

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.75
	1.85	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.81	3.42	5.23
	1.86	3.42	4.54	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.52	4.58	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)	4.74 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Corinthians
52.3%

Draw
27.6%

Racing
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	30.4%	8.7%

Corinthians - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hugo Souza (G) 23. Fagner (C) 5. Ramalho A. 25. Caca 21. Matheus Bidu 38. Carrillo A. 47. Martinez J. 18. Charles 10. Garro R. 9. Yuri Alberto 7. Depay M.	21. Arias G. (C) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 27. Rojas G. 13. Sosa S. 8. Quintero J. 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
28. Alex Santana 11. Angel Romero 27. Breno Bidon 13. Gustavo Henrique 77. Igor Coronado 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 2. Matheus Franca 17. Pedro Henrique 20. Pedro Raul 14. Raniele 19. Talles Magno 3. Torres F.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 17. Carbonero J. 6. Colombo N. 20. German Conti 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 22. Rodriguez B. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S. 18. Urzi A. 12. Vietto L. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Diaz R.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Salas M. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Depay M. (A),
25', Martinez J. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
33', 2 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Garro R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Almendra A. E. (A),
60', Charles ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
70', Nardoni J. 🟨,
74', Carrillo A. ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
74', Fagner ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
74', Garro R. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
75', Depay M. 🟨,
76', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
81', Quintero J. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
82', Arias G. 🟨,
83', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
85', Salas M. ↓, Quiros S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
20.10.24	Corinthians - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.10.24	Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense	5:2 ✺
05.10.24	Corinthians - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.10.24	Flamengo - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.09.24	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTLL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	4:3 ✺
05.10.24	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	1:0 ✺
30.09.24	Racing - Platense	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.09.24	Racing - Athletico Paranaense	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.09.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Racing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
27.02.19	Racing - Corinthians	1:2 penalties
14.02.19	Corinthians - Racing	1:1
20.09.17	Racing - Corinthians	0:0
13.09.17	Corinthians - Racing	1:1

Upcoming Matches