The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 56.5%
Draw 27.4%
Vitória Salvador 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
24.6%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
24%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.2%
5.9%
5.9%
Corinthians - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Corinthians (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 25. Caca 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele 7. Maycon (C) 27. Breno Bidon 43. Talles Magno 22. Hernandez H. 10. Depay M.
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 43. Edu 5. Lucas Halter (C) 3. Ze Marcos 2. Claudinho 44. Baralhas 8. Ronald Lopes 83. Jamerson 79. Renato Kayzer 39. Janderson 22. Lucas Braga
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero 26. Angileri F. 35. Charles Rigon 8. Garro R. 56. Gui Negao 77. Igor Coronado 47. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 70. Martinez J. 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 37. Ryan 3. Torres F.
42. Davi Barbosa (G) 33. Erick 23. Fabricio 76. Felipe Cardoso 35. Fintelman (G) 7. Gustavo Silva 18. Kauan 38. Leo Pereira 66. Maykon Jesus 28. Ricardo Ryller
Coaches
Dorival Junior
Thiago Carpini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Raniele ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
30', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
36', Lucas Halter 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez H. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
61', Lucas Braga ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
61', Janderson ↓, Fabricio ↑,
63', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
68', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
74', Claudinho ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
81', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
81', Breno Bidon ↓, Ryan ↑,
83', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
88', Garro R. 🟨,
90+5', Ze Marcos 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Corinthians: Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
There will not play in Vitória: Caceres R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hugo
(Calf Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).