Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	Coritiba		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.75
	1.52	3.4	6.4	Watch
	1.57	3.4	6.4
	1.59	3.66	7.35
	1.55	3.3	7
	1.6	3.55	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	3.45 ↓ (4.44)	6.58 ↓ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
59%

Draw
26.9%

Confiança
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.4%

18.1%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coritiba's form might have worsened.

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Coritiba - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Coritiba in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Confiança is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Coritiba is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Coritiba to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.21	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0 ✺
22.09.21	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
17.09.21	Coritiba - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
07.09.21	Coritiba - Brusque	4:0 ✺
01.09.21	Londrina - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:0 ✺
17.09.21	Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:1 ✺
01.09.21	Confiança - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.06.21	Confiança - Coritiba	0:1

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