Match Info

USL League One

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lancaster Municipal Stadium (Lancaster, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.40	2.90
	2.02	3.35	3.1
	2.06	3.51	3.41
	2.16	3.72	2.97	Watch
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.11	3.58	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.2)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
43.8%

Draw
26.5%

Sarasota Paradise
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

AV Alta - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Doumbia D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 3. Ortiz A. 21. Villalobos J. 32. Jahng E. 20. Antwi G. 99. Bahena Jr C. 18. Aoumaich A. 7. Desdunes J.	1. Sutton A. (G) 8. Walker A. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 14. Pettersen J. 27. O'Dwyer C. 7. Bryant E. 17. Bolanos J. 11. Karani S. 46. Roed S.
Substitutes
19. Anderson C. 11. Aoumaich I. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 6. Lay O. 4. Pajaro M. 12. Relerford N. 15. Winum M.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 9. Bender J. 50. Brulinski D. 2. Burlew R. 18. Krueger B. 16. Rodriguez A. 3. Valentine R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bahena Jr C. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Ortiz C. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Jahng E. ↓, Lay O. ↑,
59', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Aoumaich I. ↑,
59', Aoumaich A. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
62', Aoumaich I. 🟨,
68', Bryant E. ↓, Bender J. ↑,
68', Pettersen J. ↓, Krueger B. ↑,
68', Roed S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
69', Sogaard A. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
72', Bender J. 🟨,
75', Watters D. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Antwi G. ⚽, Aoumaich I. (A),
80', Antwi G. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
80', Desdunes J. ↓, Higareda S. ↑,
85', Bolanos J. ↓, Burlew R. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Burlew R. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Alta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarasota Paradise's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL Cup
06.06.26	AV Alta - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Fort Wayne - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
27.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
USL League One
23.05.26	AV Alta - New York Cosmos	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLWW
- Sarasota Paradise
USL Cup
06.06.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Boise - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2

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