Match Info

USL League One

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho) (Boise, ID)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boise		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.05
	1.67	3.95	4.17
	1.72	3.86	4.37	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4
	1.64	3.78	4.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	4.21 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boise
54.2%

Draw
24.2%

Sarasota Paradise
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boise than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Boise - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boise will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sarasota Paradise will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boise (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Kliewer J. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 22. Amang T. 16. Crull J. 14. Moon N. 66. Mayaka P. 8. Gasso D. 7. Bodily B. (C) 10. Kostyshyn D. 11. Moshobane T. 33. Sargis H.	1. Sutton A. (G) 3. Valentine R. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 46. Roed S. 27. O'Dwyer C. 8. Walker A. 17. Bolanos J. 19. McLaughlin G. 7. Bryant E.
Substitutes
1. Andema J. (G) 17. Hanson J. 9. Luan Brito 99. Mazzola J. (G) 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 27. Stephens J. 23. Yehya O.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 32. Bolduc M. 50. Brulinski D. 11. Karani S. 14. Pettersen J. 16. Rodriguez A. 20. Tainio M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Amang T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Gasso D. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, O'Dwyer C. ⚽, Bolanos J. (A),
60', 0 - 2, McLaughlin G. ⚽, Roed S. (A),
64', Roed S. ↓, Tainio M. ↑,
64', Bryant E. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
65', Amang T. ↓, Luan Brito ↑,
65', Moshobane T. ↓, Hanson J. ↑,
75', Bolanos J. ↓, Brulinski D. ↑,
76', McLaughlin G. ↓, Pettersen J. ↑,
76', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
76', Moon N. ↓, Oyler K. ↑,
81', Sogaard A. 🟨,
89', Valentine R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In recent matches, Boise has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarasota Paradise is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Boise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boise has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boise is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Boise
USL League One
23.05.26	Boise - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Boise - Monterey Bay	4:3 ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Boise	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Boise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
24.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
13.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Sporting Jacksonville	0:2 ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Sarasota Paradise	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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