The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 58.9%
Draw 26.1%
Luton Town 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
24.1%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
23.7%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
96.7%
3.3%
0%
Burnley - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Burnley will win
(29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Brownhill J. (C) 24. Cullen J. 22. Edwards M. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 17. Foster L.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Makosso C. 12. Naismith K. 3. Bell A. 25. Jones I. 20. Walsh L. 18. Clark J. (C) 8. Aasgaard T. 45. Doughty A. 11. Adebayo E. 37. Nelson Z.
Substitutes
35. Barnes A. 19. Flemming Z. 32. Hladky V. (G) 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 28. Mejbri H. 15. Redmond N. 7. Sarmiento J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.
21. Alli M. 5. Andersen M. 47. Bowler J. 19. Brown J. 22. Dabo L. 23. Krul T. (G) 6. McGuinness M. 9. Morris C. 44. Nordas L.
Coaches
Parker S.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Naismith K. 🟨,
16', Cullen J. 🟨,
19', Naismith K. 🟨,
25', Walsh L. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, McGuinness M. (Own goal),
39', 2 - 0, Foster L. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
41', Lucas Pires 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, Brownhill J. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
53', Clark J. 🟨,
59', Clark J. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
60', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
60', Doughty A. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
62', Edwards M. ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
62', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
74', Lucas Pires ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
74', Anthony J. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
79', Jones I. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
80', Nelson Z. 🟨,
84', Foster L. ↓, Redmond N. ↑,
89', Esteve M. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 0, Barnes A. ⚽, Laurent J. (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Burnley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Luton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Burnley is a favorite.
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Calf Injury)
Chong T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
Hungary
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Trafford J. (G) 
Roberts C. 
Esteve M. 
Lucas Pires 
Cullen J. 
Foster L. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
Makosso C. 
Naismith K. 
Bell A. 
Jones I. 
Aasgaard T. 
Flemming Z. 
Hladky V. (G) 
Manuel Hedilazio B. 
Mejbri H. 
Sarmiento J. 
Sonne O. 
Andersen M. 
Dabo L. 
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