Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	DAZN Canada
Hungary	Net4+
Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Cardiff City		Burnley

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	2.05	Watch
	4	3.1	2.05
	4.42	3.35	1.9	Watch
	4.43	3.3	1.99
	4.42	3.35	1.91	Watch
	4	3	2.05
	4.16	3.28	2.06	Watch
	4.42	3.35	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (4.2)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
22.6%

Draw
29.4%

Burnley
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

27.8%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

26.8%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.1%	2.1%	95.7%

Cardiff City - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.97% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horvath E. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 23. Bagan J. 35. Rinomhota A. 18. Robertson A. 15. Mannsverk S. 12. Chambers C. 11. O'Dowda C. (C) 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.	1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Brownhill J. 24. Cullen J. 22. Edwards M. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
27. Colwill R. 39. Davies I. 20. El Ghazi A. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 10. Ramsey A. 47. Robinson C. 41. Turner M. (G) 16. Willock C.	35. Barnes A. 17. Foster L. 32. Hladky V. (G) 30. Koleosho L. 29. Laurent J. 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 7. Sarmiento J. 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Riza O.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Esteve M. ⚽, Flemming Z. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽, Bagan J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
46', Rinomhota A. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
61', Mannsverk S. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
61', Ashford C. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
71', Bagan J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
72', Mejbri H. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
72', Flemming Z. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
79', Edwards M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
88', Anthony J. ↓, Worrall J. ↑,
90+1', Lucas Pires 🟨,
90+2', Trafford J. 🟨,
90+5', Sarmiento J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0.

Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burnley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cardiff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Muscle Injury) Daland J. (Calf Injury) Goutas D. (Red Card) Tanner O. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English FA Cup
28.02.25	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
25.02.25	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cardiff City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTL
- Burnley FC
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Preston North End - Burnley	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
21.02.25	Burnley - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
15.02.25	Preston North End - Burnley	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Burnley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Southampton - Burnley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.08.24	Burnley - Cardiff City	5:0
08.05.23	Burnley - Cardiff City	3:0
01.10.22	Cardiff City - Burnley	1:1
English Premier League
13.04.19	Burnley - Cardiff City	2:0
30.09.18	Cardiff City - Burnley	1:2
English League Championship
05.04.16	Burnley - Cardiff City	0:0
28.11.15	Cardiff City - Burnley	2:2

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