Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Coventry City		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.03	3.56	3.56	Watch
	2.09	3.55	3.73
	2.09	3.5	3.49	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	3.43 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
45.4%

Draw
26.8%

Birmingham City
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.3%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Coventry City - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Birmingham (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Coventry (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 7 - 70%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. (C) 29. Torp V. 7. Sakamoto T. 28. Eccles J. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 11. Wright H.	21. Allsop R. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 4. Klarer C. (C) 6. Robinson J. 2. Laird E. 24. Iwata T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 10. Gray D. 28. Stansfield J. 30. Koumas L. 17. Dykes L.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 33. Brau M. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 9. Simms E. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.	25. Beadle J. (G) 41. Cashin E. 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 9. Furuhashi K. 12. Leonard M. 48. Mayo B. (G) 5. Neumann P. 16. Roberts P.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Thomas-Asante B. ⚽,
34', Robinson J. 🟨,
42', Robinson J. 🟨,
44', Koumas L. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
45+2', Wright H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Iwata T. 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, Osayi-Samuel B. (Own goal),
59', Laird E. ↓, Cochrane A. ↑,
59', Gray D. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
64', Stansfield J. 🟨,
65', Eccles J. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
72', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
77', Iwata T. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
77', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Torp V. ⚽,
81', Sakamoto T. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
81', Thomas B. ↓, Brau M. ↑,
81', Torp V. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Coventry might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Latibeaudiere J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Injury) Buchanan L. (Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Cochrane A. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
20.09.25	Leicester City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Coventry City - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Oxford United - Coventry City	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Millwall - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Coventry City - Queens Park Rangers	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTLW
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
20.09.25	Birmingham City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Stoke City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Leicester City - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Birmingham City - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Birmingham City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.04.24	Birmingham City - Coventry City	3:0
08.12.23	Coventry City - Birmingham City	2:0
29.04.23	Coventry City - Birmingham City	2:0
17.09.22	Birmingham City - Coventry City	0:0
15.04.22	Birmingham City - Coventry City	2:4
23.11.21	Coventry City - Birmingham City	0:0
30.01.21	Birmingham City - Coventry City	1:1

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