Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Covilhã		Pero Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6	Watch
	1.38	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4.6	7.42
	1.4	4.81	7.75
	1.38	4.33	6.8
	1.4	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	4.5 ↑ (3.6)	6.81 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
66%

Draw
20.5%

Pero Pinheiro
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Joao Goncalo (G) 6. Moreira T. 3. Casagrande P. 4. Adams M. 7. Traquina (C) 10. Ze Tiago 18. Bruninho 87. Ferreira R. 20. Lourenco Vilanculos G. 9. Chico Cardoso 99. Benedict E.	21. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 17. Pinheiro L. 15. Agrelos G. 22. Loureiro T. 19. Oliveira K. 66. Antunes B. 7. Ze Maria 50. Varela F. 32. Miguel Verissimo 99. Osei S. 11. Bastos F. (C)
Substitutes
1. Araujo I. (G) 90. Campos P. 2. Coelho V. 15. Ferreira D. 8. Gilberto 19. Joao Vasco 13. Michel 23. Pereira J. 5. Ze Simao	30. Bissula M. 9. Carvalho R. 72. Chiquinho 5. Figueroa J. 10. Galamba A. 8. Pedrosa A. 26. Pires D. 4. Rodeia M. 1. Soares M. (G)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Covilhã is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pero Pinheiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pero Pinheiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Covilhã is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Covilhã to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
28.10.23	Covilhã - Caldas	4:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.23	Covilhã - Portimonense	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.23	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- CA Pero Pinheiro
Portuguese Liga 3
29.10.23	Pero Pinheiro - Sporting Lisbon B	3:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Pero Pinheiro - Serpa	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.23	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Pero Pinheiro - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	União de Tomar - Pero Pinheiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
08.08.23	Pero Pinheiro - Covilhã	0:4

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