Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 33

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.43	3.05	2.8
	2.67	3.28	2.83
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.51	3.24	2.72
	2.43	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	2.75 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
37.2%

Draw
29.5%

Trofense
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covilhã's form might have worsened.

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covilhã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Covilhã - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.23	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Covilhã - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	BSAD - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Covilhã - Mafra	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Leixões - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWLL
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
12.05.23	Trofense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Torreense - Trofense	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Trofense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Benfica B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Trofense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.01.23	Trofense - Covilhã	2:0
13.03.22	Covilhã - Trofense	2:0
24.10.21	Trofense - Covilhã	3:0
Portuguese League Cup
24.07.21	Trofense - Covilhã	0:3
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.15	Covilhã - Trofense	2:0
22.10.14	Trofense - Covilhã	1:0
30.03.14	Trofense - Covilhã	1:0

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