Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Torreense		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.08	3.15	3.35
	2.16	3.4	3.61
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.34	3.4
	2.14	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.74)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	3.31 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
43.7%

Draw
28.6%

Trofense
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torreense's form might have worsened.

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torreense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torreense - Trofense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Torreense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Torreense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.04.23	Vilafranquense - Torreense	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Mafra - Torreense	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Torreense - Covilhã	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.23	Trofense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Benfica B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Trofense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Porto B - Trofense	4:2 ✺
01.04.23	Trofense - Farense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.12.22	Trofense - Torreense	0:1

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