Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Argyrou A. (Cyp)


	Benfica B		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.05	3.9	3.45
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.02	3.62	3.3
	2.04	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
45%

Draw
26.5%

Trofense
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Benfica B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Benfica B - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Trofense will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Benfica B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
16.04.23	Moreirense - Benfica B	7:4 ✺
08.04.23	Benfica B - BSAD	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Mafra - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWL
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
15.04.23	Trofense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Porto B - Trofense	4:2 ✺
01.04.23	Trofense - Farense	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Feirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Trofense - Nacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.22	Trofense - Benfica B	1:2
28.01.22	Trofense - Benfica B	2:0
22.08.21	Benfica B - Trofense	2:1
25.01.15	Trofense - Benfica B	0:2
09.08.14	Benfica B - Trofense	3:2
21.12.13	Benfica B - Trofense	5:0
10.08.13	Trofense - Benfica B	0:0

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