Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.45
	2.5	3.15	2.6
	2.83	3.24	2.69
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.87)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.58 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
35%

Draw
29.4%

Tondela
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Trofense - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).

Trofense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tondela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.04.23	Porto B - Trofense	4:2 ✺
01.04.23	Trofense - Farense	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Feirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Trofense - Nacional	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Moreirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
08.04.23	Tondela - Leixões	2:3 ✺
01.04.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Tondela - Mafra	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.22	Tondela - Trofense	0:0
01.02.15	Tondela - Trofense	4:0
17.08.14	Trofense - Tondela	2:2
23.03.14	Tondela - Trofense	2:0
06.11.13	Trofense - Tondela	1:1
22.08.12	Tondela - Trofense	N/A

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