The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cracovia 41.4%
Draw 27.4%
Motor Lublin 31.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
25.4%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
25.3%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cracovia's form might have worsened.
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Cracovia - Motor Lublin Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 12th).
Cracovia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Motor has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Motor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Motor has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cracovia holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Cracovia: Bogacz W.
(Inactive)
Klich M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ltaief S.
(Inactive)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Motor: Rodrigues I.
(Inactive).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:7 (averaging 2.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cracovia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 3.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Motor Lublin
12
3
4
5
17:21
-4
13
13
Cracovia
12
3
3
6
14:19
-5
12
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Cracovia: 0.13% Motor Lublin: 0.09%
Last Results with these Odds
Motor Lublin - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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