Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.43	3.51	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.58	3.53	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	3.49 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
45.7%

Draw
27.4%

Burton Albion
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Crawley Town - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Burton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 24. Mullarkey T. 19. Kelly J. 18. Quitirna A. 6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 22. Adeyemo A. 9. Swan W. 29. Showunmi T.	1. Crocombe M. (G) 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. 3. Dodgson O. 2. Godwin-Malife U. 4. Watt E. (C) 33. Chauke K. 24. McKiernan J. J. 7. Kalinauskas T. 32. Bennett M. 18. Burrell R.
Substitutes
7. Forster H. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 45. John-Jules T. 30. Radcliffe B. 11. Roles J. 21. Sheik J. (G)	17. Armer J. 11. Bodin B. 10. Bodvarsson J. 26. Delap F. 13. Isted H. (G) 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 8. Webster C.
Coaches
Elliot R.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Burrell R. ⚽, Sweeney R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mullarkey T. ↓, Radcliffe B. ↑,
50', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
55', Dodgson O. 🟨,
61', Anderson M. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
64', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Webster C. ↑,
68', Kelly J. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
68', Swan W. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
70', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
71', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Bodvarsson J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Showunmi T. ⚽,
73', Conroy D. 🟨,
78', Burrell R. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
78', Bennett M. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
81', Camara P. 🟨,
83', Adeyemo A. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
86', Barker C. 🟨,
90+4', Vancooten T. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Crawley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Burton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Crawley have a series of guest games.

Crawley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
04.01.25	Barnsley - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
29.12.24	Exeter City - Crawley Town	4:4 ✺
26.12.24	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
23.12.24	Crawley Town - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Peterborough United - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- Burton Albion
English League One
04.01.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Burton Albion - Peterborough United	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Huddersfield Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Birmingham City - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Burton Albion - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0
English League Two
31.03.12	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	N/A

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