The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 50.2%
Draw 25.1%
Crawley Town 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
25.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
27.5%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Exeter City - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 52.1% – 90.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 5. Fitzwater J. 4. Crama T. 8. Francis E. 2. McMillan J. 6. Woods R. (C) 47. Richards J. 14. Niskanen I. 20. Doyle K. 31. Bird J. 11. Alli M.
1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 3. Conroy D. (C) 5. Barker C. 23. Ibrahim B. 12. Camara P. 19. Kelly J. 6. Anderson M. 18. Quitirna A. 9. Swan W. 29. Showunmi T.
Substitutes
18. Harper V. 16. Jones P. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 27. Magennis J. 7. Mitchell D. 3. Purrington B. 17. Watts C.
16. Beach E. (G) 15. Fish S. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 8. Holohan G. 45. John-Jules T. 20. Mukena J. 11. Roles J.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Elliot R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
15', 0 - 1, Camara P. ⚽,
20', Bird J. 🟨,
27', Bird J. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
35', 1 - 1, Alli M. ⚽, Harper V. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Swan W. ⚽, Conroy D. (A),
42', 1 - 3, Showunmi T. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 4, Quitirna A. ⚽, Swan W. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Doyle K. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
46', Niskanen I. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
46', Fitzwater J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
49', Watts C. 🟨,
58', Quitirna A. ↓, Mukena J. ↑,
59', Showunmi T. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
60', 2 - 4, Harper V. ⚽, Mitchell D. (A),
65', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
74', Richards J. ↓, Jones P. ↑,
76', Swan W. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
78', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
82', 3 - 4, Woods R. ⚽,
84', Anderson M. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
89', Alli M. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 4, Mitchell D. ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 4.
Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Exeter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Exeter is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:20 (average 1.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.5:1.5).
Watch
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Whitworth J. (G) 
Crama T. 
McMillan J. 
Niskanen I. 
Alli M. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Camara P. 
Kelly J. 
Harper V. 
Jones P. 
Magennis J. 
Watts C. 
Roles J. 
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