Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 21

Date: 23 December 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV4
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
International	20:00	Disney+


	Crawley Town		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8	5.25	1.34
	8.5	5	1.35	Watch
	8.74	5.44	1.33
	8.45	4.9	1.35	Watch
	8.5	5	1.36
	8.4	5.3	1.34	Watch
	8.5	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.45 ↑ (7.45)	5.08 ↑ (4.78)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
11.2%

Draw
18.6%

Birmingham City
70.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.7%

19.8%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.4%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	11.5%	80.8%

Crawley Town - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 3. Conroy D. (C) 5. Barker C. 22. Adeyemo A. 6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 19. Kelly J. 9. Swan W. 29. Showunmi T. 7. Forster H.	21. Allsop R. (G) 6. Bielik K. 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 14. Anderson K. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 3. Buchanan L. 18. Willumsson W. T. 9. May A. 28. Stansfield J.
Substitutes
16. Beach E. (G) 10. Darcy R. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 45. John-Jules T. 18. Quitirna A. 11. Roles J.	17. Dykes L. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 7. Hansson E. 26. Harris L. 2. Laird E. 12. Leonard M. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G)
Coaches
Elliot R.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Adeyemo A. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
45+1', Klarer C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Showunmi T. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
63', Buchanan L. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
73', Anderson M. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
73', Camara P. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
74', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
74', May A. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
77', Forster H. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
78', Conroy D. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
86', John-Jules T. 🟨,
90', Stansfield J. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
90+3', Anderson K. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Recent matches Crawley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
14.12.24	Peterborough United - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
03.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:4 ✺
English League One
23.11.24	Crawley Town - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWLWT
- Birmingham City
English League One
14.12.24	Birmingham City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Exeter City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Barnsley - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
04.12.24	Birmingham City - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.12.24	Blackpool - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.08.17	Birmingham City - Crawley Town	5:1

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