Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.21	3.64	3.19
	2.22	3.64	3.19
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.12	3.55	3.16	Watch
	2.07	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	3.14 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
43.7%

Draw
26.3%

Doncaster Rovers
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Addai C. (G) 30. Wright W. 20. Mukena J. 6. Maguire L. 22. Adeyemo A. 26. Williams J. (C) 8. Lolos K. 14. Forster H. 10. Darcy R. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 19. Kelly J.	15. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 4. Anderson T. 6. Wood R. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 7. Molyneux L. 17. Bailey O. 14. Biggins H. 37. Craig M. 47. Adelakun H. 20. Ironside J.
Substitutes
28. Campbell A. 3. Conroy D. 2. Gordon K. 4. Kelly L. 11. Roles J. 13. Sandford R. (G) 25. Tsaroulla N.	36. Biamou M. 8. Broadbent G. 21. Hurst K. 12. Jones L. (G) 5. Olowu J. 10. Rowe T. 24. Westbrooke Z.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
42', Williams J. 🟨,
45+1', Adelakun H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Adeyemo A. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
54', Forster H. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Adelakun H. ⚽, Ironside J. (A),
61', Ironside J. ↓, Biamou M. ↑,
65', Kelly J. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
66', Anderson T. 🟥,
70', Molyneux L. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
81', Adelakun H. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
82', Biggins H. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
82', Craig M. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
84', Wright W. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
84', Darcy R. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
90+2', Lo-Tutala T. 🟨,
90+5', Mukena J. 🟨,
90+8', 0 - 2, Biamou M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
23.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:3 ✺
18.03.24	Crawley Town - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Crawley Town - Notts County	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Harrogate Town - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Morecambe - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWL
- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
23.03.24	Doncaster Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Swindon Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	2:0
21.03.23	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:1
24.09.22	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	4:1
04.03.17	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:0
13.08.16	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	1:1
English League One
10.02.15	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:5
16.09.14	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	0:0

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