Match Info

League Two - Round 32

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.18	3.45	3.05
	2.24	3.46	3.24
	2.22	3.55	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.2	3.35	3.12	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	3.09 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
42.4%

Draw
27.4%

Crawley Town
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Marosi M. (G) 28. Negru S. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 26. Plant J. 25. Warrington L. 8. Finley S. (C) 11. Patrick O. 7. Whitaker C. 29. Ironside J. 32. Obiero Z.	35. Chapman J. (G) 31. Odimayo A. 4. Bajrami G. 28. Flint J. 41. Gordon K. 26. Williams J. (C) 30. Copley L. 7. Forster H. 49. Darcy R. 44. Lolos K. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 9. Dennis K. 31. Dickov M. 42. Kenneh N. 16. Lowe J. 30. McGowan A. 2. Norman C.	22. Adeyemo A. 5. Barker C. 20. Ferizaj J. 19. Pereira D. 12. Richards L. 34. Wollacott J. (G)
Coaches
Crosby A.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Obiero Z. ⚽,
38', Whitaker C. 🟨,
44', Bajrami G. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Ironside J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Copley L. ↓, Ferizaj J. ↑,
56', Plant J. 🟨,
67', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
67', Odimayo A. ↓, Barker C. ↑,
71', Whitaker C. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
71', Ironside J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
74', Forster H. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
76', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
81', Patrick O. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
81', Obiero Z. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
83', Warrington L. 🟨,
90+6', Marosi M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.

Tranmere is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crawley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tranmere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury) Malone S. (Injury) Russell J. (Inactive)

We predict that Crawley will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Tranmere: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12
24	Crawley	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Crawley Town - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
07.02.26	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Barnet - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Crawley Town
English League Two
10.02.26	Crawley Town - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Crawley Town - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Walsall - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Barrow - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.08.25	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:2
23.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:3
16.09.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2
15.04.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
28.02.23	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	1:0
22.01.22	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:1

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