Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	15:45	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:45	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	19:45	Starzplay Sports app


	Cremonese		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.15	3.35	1.95
	4.64	3.48	1.93
	4.32	3.48	1.89	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.54	3.49	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.76)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
22%

Draw
27.9%

Fiorentina
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.4%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	23.1%	64.1%

Cremonese - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 9 - 12%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 49 - 65.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 54.5% – 76.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cremonese (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .

DC - Cremonese (1.82) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fiorentina (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 6 - 24%). Fiorentina (votes: 16 - 64%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 55. Folino F. 23. Ceccherini F. 5. Luperto S. 4. Barbieri T. 2. Thorsby M. 38. Bondo W. 29. Maleh Y. 22. Floriani R. 9. Djuric M. 90. Bonazzoli F. (C)	43. de Gea D. (C) 2. Dodo 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 21. Gosens R. 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 4. Brescianini M. 65. Parisi F. 91. Piccoli R. 10. Gudmundsson A.
Substitutes
15. Bianchetti M. 30. Faye M. 33. Grassi A. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 77. Okereke D. 32. Payero M. 99. Sanabria A. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Zerbin A.	62. Balbo L. 61. Braschi R. 53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 80. Fabbian G. 22. Fazzini J. 17. Harrison J. 20. Kean M. 60. Kouadio E. 50. Leonardelli P. (G) 27. Ndour C. 3. Rugani D.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Parisi F. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
27', Bondo W. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Piccoli R. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
46', Thorsby M. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Dodo ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
57', 1 - 3, Okereke D. ⚽, Ceccherini F. (A),
62', Maleh Y. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
69', Floriani R. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Piccoli R. (A),
75', Mandragora R. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
76', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
81', Ceccherini F. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
81', Parisi F. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
81', Gosens R. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
88', Ranieri L. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0.

Cremonese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fiorentina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Pezzella G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Fortini N. (Back Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Lezzerini L. (Muscle Injury) Solomon M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.05%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Cremonese - Milan	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cremonese - Genoa	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Atalanta - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Fiorentina - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Udinese - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:4 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Fiorentina - Cremonese	1:0
Coppa Italia
27.04.23	Fiorentina - Cremonese	0:0
05.04.23	Cremonese - Fiorentina	0:2
Italian Serie A
12.03.23	Cremonese - Fiorentina	0:2
14.08.22	Fiorentina - Cremonese	3:2
Club Friendly
24.07.13	Fiorentina - Cremonese	7:1

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