Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 13

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN 2
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Sportitalia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Empoli		Udinese

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.7	Watch
	3	2.8	2.7
	2.98	2.88	2.72
	3.1	2.88	2.79
	3.09	2.93	2.71	Watch
	3	2.8	2.7
	3.17	2.96	2.76	Watch
	3	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.58)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	2.73 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
31.5%

Draw
33.3%

Udinese
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

32.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

29.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.9%	66.7%	17.5%

Empoli - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 8 - 13.8%). Udinese will win (votes: 11 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 39 - 67.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.1% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 93. Maleh Y. 6. Henderson L. 13. Cacace L. 3. Pezzella G. 9. Pellegri P. 29. Colombo L.	40. Okoye M. (G) 30. Giannetti L. 29. Bijol J. 95. Toure I. 19. Ehizibue K. 8. Lovric S. 25. Karlstrom J. 6. Zarraga O. 11. Kamara H. 10. Thauvin F. (C) 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
8. Anjorin F. 16. Belardinelli L. 19. Ekong E. 99. Esposito Se. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 17. Solbakken O. 31. Tosto L.	4. Abankwah J. 14. Atta A. 22. Brenner 23. Ebosse E. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 27. Kabasele C. 31. Kristensen T. 17. Lucca L. 77. Modesto R. 93. Padelli D. (G) 99. Pizarro D. 90. Sava R. (G) 33. Zemura J.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Kamara H. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Pellegri P. ⚽, Cacace L. (A),
27', Bijol J. 🟨,
37', Henderson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Giannetti L. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
46', Kamara H. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
63', Zarraga O. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
66', Colombo L. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
66', Pezzella G. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
74', Pellegri P. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Davis K. ⚽, Lovric S. (A),
81', Lovric S. ↓, Atta A. ↑,
83', Henderson L. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
85', Ekong E. 🟨,
88', Thauvin F. ↓, Brenner ↑,
90+1', Anjorin F. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0.

Recent matches Empoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Udinese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Injury) Deulofeu G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Esposito Se. (Injury) Grassi A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Sanchez A. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Empoli won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
08.11.24	Lecce - Empoli	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Empoli - Como	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Parma - Empoli	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Empoli - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLTL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
10.11.24	Atalanta - Udinese	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Udinese - Juventus	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Venezia - Udinese	3:2 ✺
25.10.24	Udinese - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Milan - Udinese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.05.24	Udinese - Empoli	1:1
06.10.23	Empoli - Udinese	0:0
11.03.23	Empoli - Udinese	0:1
04.01.23	Udinese - Empoli	1:1
16.04.22	Udinese - Empoli	4:1
06.12.21	Empoli - Udinese	3:1
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Udinese - Empoli	1:0

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