Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.1
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	1.9	3.47	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.92	3.4	4.21	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	4.06 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
48.6%

Draw
28.3%

Mantova
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	64.7%	11.8%

Nuova Cosenza - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 29. Sgarbi F. 23. Venturi M. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 28. Kouan C. 39. Kourfalidis C. 11. D'Orazio T. 9. Artistico G. 30. Mazzocchi S. 34. Florenzi A.	1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 87. De Maio S. 6. Bani C. 29. Cella S. 11. Fiori A. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Burrai S. 19. Mancuso L. 7. Mensah D. 30. Bragantini D.
Substitutes
6. Charlys 2. Cimino B. 15. Dalle Mura C. 10. Fumagalli T. 55. Hristov A. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 36. Novello J. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.	24. Artioli F. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 14. Galuppini F. 26. Giordano S. 28. Muroni M. 23. Panizzi E. 5. Redolfi A. 18. Ruocco F. 4. Solini M. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Florenzi A. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Florenzi A. ⚽, D'Orazio T. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Maggioni T. ⚽, Bani C. (A),
43', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kouan C. 🟨,
61', Bani C. 🟨,
61', Bragantini D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Mancuso L. ⚽,
72', Fiori A. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
72', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
72', D'Orazio T. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
76', Artistico G. 🟨,
81', Sgarbi F. 🟨,
82', Mensah D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
82', Bani C. ↓, Giordano S. ↑,
85', Florenzi A. ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
90+1', Caporale A. ↓, Martino P. ↑,
90+1', Ricciardi M. ↓, Hristov A. ↑,
90+5', Kourfalidis C. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Cosenza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mantova is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cosenza is a favorite.

There will not play in Cosenza: Camporese M. (Injury)

There will not play in Mantova: Radaelli N. (Injury) Ruocco F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Sassuolo - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Carrarese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Spezia - Mantova	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Mantova - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Mantova - Pisa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.08.24	Mantova - Nuova Cosenza	3:2

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