Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Reggiana		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.67	Watch
	5	3.7	1.66
	5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5.4	3.86	1.68
	5.13	3.77	1.7	Watch
	4	3.6	1.8
	4.8	3.9	1.7	Watch
	5	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.34)	3.75 ↑ (3.45)	1.69 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
19.2%

Draw
25.1%

Sassuolo
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.4%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sassuolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sassuolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Reggiana - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (G) 31. Sampirisi M. 13. Meroni A. 44. Lucchesi L. 7. Marras M. 17. Libutti L. 16. Reinhart T. 5. Sersanti A. 90. Portanova M. 30. Vergara A. 11. Gondo C.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 80. Muharemovic T. 19. Romagna F. 15. Pieragnolo E. 14. Obiang P. 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 77. Pierini N.
Substitutes
15. Fiamozzi R. 24. Fontanarosa A. 80. Girma N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 77. Kabashi E. 27. Maggio M. 1. Motta E. (G) 87. Nahounou Y. 23. Pettinari S. 6. Stulac L. 29. Urso O. 10. Vido L.	29. Caligara F. 40. Iannoni E. 55. Kumi J. 44. Miranda K. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 9. Mulattieri S. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C.
Coaches
Viali W.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Sersanti A. 🟨,
21', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
23', Romagna F. ↓, Odenthal C. ↑,
28', Lauriente A. 🟨,
28', Portanova M. 🟨,
43', Pieragnolo E. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),
45+1', Sampirisi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Marras M. 🟨,
50', Meroni A. 🟨,
60', Marras M. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
60', Gondo C. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
66', Lauriente A. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
66', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Paz Y. ↑,
68', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
72', Girma N. 🟨,
74', Paz Y. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Mulattieri S. ⚽,
78', Libutti L. ↓, Urso O. ↑,
78', Vergara A. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
81', Odenthal C. 🟨,
83', Portanova M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
85', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
85', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Reggiana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sassuolo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Reggiana: Vido L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Doig J. (Knock) Ghion A. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Cesena - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Bari - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
29.10.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Palermo - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTLL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sassuolo - Mantova	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTW

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