Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus


	Spezia		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.6	8
	1.28	5.8	8.8	Watch
	1.29	5.6	10.7
	1.26	5.73	10.6	Watch
	1.36	4.6	8
	1.3	5.76	8.52	Watch
	1.28	5.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.44)	5.46 ↑ (4.21)	8.99 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
72.2%

Draw
17.3%

Nuova Cosenza
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

22.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

21.5%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spezia's performance.

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Spezia - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Cosenza (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Spezia (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Cosenza (6.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cosenza (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Spezia will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spezia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cosenza (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. 37. Mateju A. 32. Vignali L. 8. Nagy A. 80. Kouda R. 29. Cassata F. 7. Elia S. 10. Lapadula G. 9. Esposito F.	22. Vettorel T. (G) 29. Sgarbi F. 55. Hristov A. 23. Venturi M. 2. Cimino B. 34. Florenzi A. 5. Gargiulo M. 31. Ricci G. 28. Kouan C. 9. Artistico G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A.
Substitutes
25. Bandinelli F. 44. Benvenuto M. 36. Candelari P. 23. Chichizola L. (G) 17. Colak A. 20. Di Serio G. 82. Djankpata H. 11. Falcinelli D. 4. Ferrer S. 15. Garzia M. 65. Giorgeschi S. 12. Mascardi D. (G)	12. Baldi G. (G) 17. Caporale A. 6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 41. Contiero L. 18. Cruz J. M. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 39. Kourfalidis C. 36. Novello J. 16. Ricciardi M.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Elia S. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Kouda R. ⚽, Vignali L. (A),
45+3', 3 - 0, Esposito F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽, Cimino B. (A),
53', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
63', Ricci G. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
63', Cimino B. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
63', Venturi M. ↓, Caporale A. ↑,
63', Lapadula G. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
64', Di Serio G. 🟨,
77', Gargiulo M. ↓, Charlys ↑,
77', Kouda R. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
82', Elia S. ↓, Ferrer S. ↑,
82', Cassata F. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
88', Florenzi A. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Spezia is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Spezia: Bertola N. (Red Card) Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Reca A. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury) Soleri E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Garritano L. (Calf Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Reggiana - Spezia	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Spezia - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Frosinone - Spezia	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Mantova - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWTT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cesena	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	0:0
05.05.24	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	2:2
28.10.23	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
10.07.20	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	5:1
29.11.19	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	1:1
22.04.19	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	1:0
08.12.18	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	4:0

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