Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Crewe Alexandra		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5
	1.4	4.4	7.5
	1.4	4.5	8.25
	1.43	4.24	6.47
	1.43	4.6	7.94
	1.42	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.74	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.5 ↓ (4.5)	7.65 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
66.7%

Draw
21%

Macclesfield Town
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

21%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.1%

18%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	3.7%	29.6%

Crewe Alexandra - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Macclesfield will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
15.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
08.02.20	Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
28.01.20	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Macclesfield Town
English League Two
18.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
15.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
11.02.20	Morecambe - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
08.02.20	Leyton Orient - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.01.20	Macclesfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
09.02.19	Macclesfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	3:3
01.09.18	Crewe Alexandra - Macclesfield Town	3:0
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Macclesfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	3:0
22.07.14	Macclesfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:0
English League Two
14.04.12	Macclesfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	N/A

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