The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 21.7%
Draw 30.2%
Leyton Orient 48%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
29%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
28.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
17.9%
69.6%
Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 12.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 39 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 57.6% – 81.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Crewe has the most likely position - 17 (8.51%), has project points - 58, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (59.42%), has project points - 94, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a good chance of promoted (91%), has a good chance of win league (59%).
This event has small quality11, importance40, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 5.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Leyton Orient have a series of guest games.
In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Crewe won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
Watch
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