The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 54.6%
Draw 24.7%
Crewe Alexandra 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
27.8%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
21.8%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.6%
8.7%
8.7%
Plymouth Argyle - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(38 of 46 users predict this - 82.61%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.66% – 93.56%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Plymouth has the most likely position - 7 (5.61%), has project points - 65, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (17.12%), has project points - 48, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Plymouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Crewe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
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