The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 34.2%
Draw 28.6%
Oldham Athletic 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27.6%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
28.8%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
25%
58.3%
Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Oldham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 25. Pond A. 18. Connolly J. 3. Hutchinson R. 6. Sanders M. H. 17. Holicek M. 7. Lankester J. 26. O'Reilly T. 24. March J. 36. Tezgel E.
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 26. Payne K. 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 11. Stevens J.
Substitutes
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 14. Finney C. 32. Moore L. 31. Moult L. 23. Powell J. 29. Thibaut A.
31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 21. Hawkes J. 17. Kavanagh C. 3. Leake J. 7. Taylor K.
Coaches
Bell L.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Drummond K. ⚽, Payne K. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Hutchinson R. ⚽, Holicek M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lankester J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
46', Payne K. ↓, Kavanagh C. ↑,
46', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
60', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
74', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
75', Pond A. 🟨,
75', Sutton W. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
83', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Holicek M. ⚽,
90+2', Holicek M. 🟨,
90+3', Sanders M. H. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oldham is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Crewe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Kavanagh C.
(Inactive)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
United Kingdom
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Lawlor I. (G) 
Billington L. (C) 
Connolly J. 
Holicek M. 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Robson J. 
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