Match Info

Date: 18 February 2020, Tuesday


	Macclesfield Town		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.9
	4.25	3.3	1.87
	4.4	3.3	1.9
	4.09	3.3	1.84
	4.57	3.37	1.92
	4.6	3.3	1.85
	4.62	3.42	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.98)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
21.4%

Draw
28.4%

Plymouth Argyle
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.5%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.8%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	20.8%	62.3%

Macclesfield Town - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Macclesfield will win (votes: 9 - 17%). Plymouth will win (votes: 33 - 62.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 49.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English League Two
15.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
11.02.20	Morecambe - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
08.02.20	Leyton Orient - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
28.01.20	Newport County - Macclesfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Two
15.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	Salford City - Plymouth Argyle	2:3 ✺
08.02.20	Colchester United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
01.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Newport County	1:0 ✺
28.01.20	Plymouth Argyle - Crawley Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.02.12	Macclesfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	N/A

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